It’s an age-old legend. The New York Yankees start strong and are considered World Series favorites, but by August/September/October, things have either fallen apart or flaws have begun to appear.
But all that anguish for Yankees fans does not have to translate into the same sadness for sports bettors. In fact, bettors should rejoice! There’s money to be made in the Bronx Bombers’ collapse.
We have all of the Yankees second half odds, trends, and stats covered to help you make money betting against New York.
Check out some of our MLB betting resources if you want to start betting on baseball just go to OKbet Sportsbook or go directly at OKbet.com.
On The Road With The Yankees
| Year | SU 2nd-Half Record | 2nd-Half Profitability ($10 Bets, SU) | 2nd-Half Road Record |
| 2022 | 7-12 (.368) | -$77.04 | 3-9 (.250) |
| 2021 | 46-27 (.630) | +$82.20 | 23-14 (.621) |
| 2020* | 15-15 (.500) | -$66.00 | 5-10 (.333) |
| 2019 | 46-28 (.622) | +$9.87 | 20-18 (.526) |
| 2018 | 38-29 (.567) | -$89.80 | 18-14 (.563) |
| 2017 | 46-30 (.605) | +$40.85 | 20-18 (.526) |
Over the previous six seasons, the Yankees’ road productivity has dropped significantly in the second half. New York is a good second-half team, but its record away from home almost never equals its record at Yankee Stadium (2021 seems to be an exception).
Since 2017, the Yankees have gone 89-83 in the second half on the road. That’s just a.517 winning percentage. We believe that fading New York has potential worth, and we have one more X-factor for you.
Aaron Judge’s Home/Road Splits
| Location | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | HR% |
| Home | 0.301 | 0.409 | 0.62 | 1.029 | 110 | 9% |
| Away | 0.262 | 0.367 | 0.533 | 0.899 | 93 | 7% |
Aaron Judge, a superstar, is not the same batter in away venues, whether it is due to the Yankee Stadium effect or just a lack of comfortability. The 30-year-batting old’s average drops by 40 points, and his slugging percentage drops to.530 since he can’t merely use his 6-foot-7 stature to muscle balls out of the park.
You may wonder how this affects the OVER/UNDER. Run totals begin to rise as worn out arms begin tossing meatballs to hitters, who by August have had the whole season to perfect their timing.
Yankees’ second-half OVER/UNDER line
| Year | OVER Record in 2nd Half |
| 2022 | 12-7-2001 |
| 2021 | 29-41-3 |
| 2020 | 16-14 |
| 2019 | 36-35-3 |
| 2018 | 35-28-4 |
| 2017 | 33-40-2 |
Except for 2021, when the Yankees’ starters had a strong month of August, the second-half OVER has been a safe option, particularly in 2022. (12-7-1). On paper, it’s simply a tiny benefit, but when you consider how the rotation withers down the stretch, we like the statistics.
This lovely bunch of starters the Yankees paraded out in April of this season just isn’t enjoying the same success in the dog days of July, allowing for some juicy OVER bets as we sprint towards the playoffs.
When these pitchers take the mound, bet against the Yankees
We made an effort to compile all the beginning pitchers that have troubled New York batters throughout the years since there have been a number of infamous Yankee cutters over the years.
Best Pitchers to Use Against the Yankees (Since Start Of 2019)
| Starting Pitcher | Profit ($10 Bets on Each Start) |
| Jordan Lyles | +$68.80 |
| Chris Ellis | +47.50 |
| Luis Castillo | +43.30 |
| Keegan Akin | +$41.00 |
| Adam Plutko | +$40.60 |
| Steven Matz | +$36.70 |
| Rich Hill | +$35.30 |
| Nate Karns | +$32.50 |
| Clayton Richard | +$31.00 |
| Ian Anderson | +$28.70 |
In our amazement, if you had put $10 on every Jordan Lyles start against the Yankees since the beginning of 2019, you would have gained $68.80. Lyles, a career 5.12 ERA starter, is far from an ace, but he’s benefited by playing on an overachieving Orioles team in 2022. In fact, three of the top five most lucrative pitchers against the Yankees are from Baltimore.
Another fascinating top 10 performer is Rich Hill ($35.30). The 42-year-old lefty hasn’t pitched particularly well for the Boston Red Sox this season (4.75 ERA), but he always seems to show more poise when facing the formidable Yankees. He hasn’t faced the Yankees this year, but in his three outings against them last year, he went 3-0 with a 2.04 ERA.
Boston will be the subject of three more Yankees series this year. If the venerable Rich Hill is on the mound, be sure to gamble on the Boston Red Sox.
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